4 moves to improve the MLB Offseason
This year’s MLB
free agency started off wild to say the least. Starting at the Winter Meetings,
December has created some fantastic storylines that kept baseball fans on the
edge of their seats. Recently, teams have calmed down and moves are coming in slower and slower.
From the high
profile signings/trades of Stanton & Ohtani, to the potential franchise
changing acquisitions of Carlos Santana and Marcell Ozuna, deals have been
coming in fast and are sure to continue.
With plenty of
other talent left in the free agency pool (and in the trade market), there is
sure to be a ton more moves that will shift the MLB landscape for years to
come.
There have been
some crazy rumors that only add to the drama surrounding the league; Gerrit
Cole to the Yankees? Are Yelich and Realmuto next to go in the Marlins fire sale?
Here are 4
possible moves that I personally find extremely interesting (whether they
actually happen or not), and why they work. Please note: these are not
predictions (although I’m not inventing rumors out of nowhere), just me having
some fun with what could happen.
1. Manny
Machado to the Cubs
I’m going to start
this one off by saying I do not want Manny Machado to leave the Orioles nor do
I expect Manny Machado to get traded, at least for the time being. That being
said, I do recognize that the rumour is there and it does make sense why the
Orioles would trade Machado now.
Machado has one
year left of arbitration before he would hit the open market has a free agent (after next season) and this is the time where Baltimore would be able to get the most value out ofhim in a trade before they potentially lose him for free.
Last season was
Baltimore’s first season finishing under .500 since 2011, finishing 75-87 good
enough for dead last in the AL East. This could mark the end for this current
Baltimore roster, as I feel like a rebuild should be coming in the near future.
Chris Davis, Adam
Jones and Mark Trumbo, 3 of their best offensive players, are all 32 years of
age and all have probably under 5 years of productivity left in them. Not only
are their best batter aging, but great relievers like Darren O’Day, oft-injured
Zach Britton and Brad Brach are also on the wrong side of 30.
Compare this
roster with the rosters of the Yankees and Red Sox and you’ll see that the
Yanks and Sox are destined to dominate the AL East for another 5+ years after
all the retooling they’ve done in the past couple of off-season’s. Now ask
yourself this question, if you’re Dan Duquette and the Orioles front office,
would you rather keep your current roster and hope to luck your way into the
Wild Card for the next 5 years, or endure a couple years of losing and gain a
ton of talent for the future in order to surpass the other AL East teams when
they become vulnerable?
Enter Machado, the
current face of the Orioles franchise. If he goes, its for a very high price,
and it seems like the Chicago Cubs are in the running for the 25-year-old
superstar.
Only 2 years
removed from breaking the curse, the Cubs continued their strong play last
season, finishing once again atop the NL Central with a 92-70 record. After
losing in the NLCS to the LA Dodgers, the Cubs are looking to renovate a bit,
hoping to come back stronger next season. What better way to announce yourself
as threats to the Dodgers than adding a player who’s ‘down year’ included a
.259/.310/.271 batting line with 33 home runs and 95 RBIs.
Adding Machado to
a lineup that already has Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Kyle Schwarber, Javier
Baez and Jason Heyward is absolutely scary to think of. (Note: ALL those players
just listed are under the age of 28).
While looking more
unlikely day after day, a Machado deal would really benefit both sides. The
Orioles could easily acquire young players, like Addison Russell and Albert
Almora Jr. (both clear outcasts from a loaded Cubs lineup), and young pitchers
from Chicago’s farm system, 8 of their top 10 prospects are pitchers, to
jumpstart their rebuild while staying partially-competitive at the same time.
2. Andrew
McCutchen to the Blue Jays
In an off-season
where so much talent has changed jerseys, I could easily see Cutch as the next
superstar to change team colors before next season.
The Pirates could
be another team to go through a fire sale, as Gerrit Cole to the Yankees talks
have been heating up every day and Andrew McCutchen trade rumours have also been
buzzing for weeks now.
2 teams I’ve heard
to be his likely destination, the San Francisco Giants and the Toronto Blue
Jays. It seems after losing out on Giancarlo Stanton, the Giants secured their
much needed middle-of-the-lineup power hitter in Evan Longoria and I’m unsure
they’ll be willing to make another deal for an aging star (even though they do
have an opening at CF now).
The Pirates were
very unlucky last season to be without two of their most talented hitters,
Starling Marte and Jung Ho Kang, for half of the season and the entire season
respectively. That being said, their #1 overall prospect Austin Meadows is
knocking at the door of the majors and makes 31-year-old Cutch very expendable,
before they also lose him to free agency at the end of next season.
The Blue Jays are
ready to move on from the Edwin Encarnation/Jose Bautista era, and it seems
they feel Andrew McCutchen may be exactly who they need (although I don’t
agree).
With an aging core
of talent and seemingly no exciting prospects beside Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, its clear to me the Blue Jays probably should not pull off this move.
Mark Shapiro, Ross Atkins and co. all seem to have other opinions on the
matter.
Pulling off a move
for McCutchen would probably require the Jays to give up Bichette. I don’t see
any other high-profile prospects below him in their farm system and I don’t
understand why they’d give up any other integral part of their roster that
they’d desperately need to capitalize on the couple years of Donaldson they
have left.
While I don’t
completely understand the potential move from the Blue Jays perspective just
yet, this deal has some traction to it and may happen. It certainly would be
interesting if another star outfielder made his way to the AL East.
3. Jake
Arrieta to the Twins
Let’s look away
from trades for a moment and focus on the current free agency class of 2017. If
you’re a team looking for a pitcher, this class has some talent (top-end of the
rotation down to bottom-end of the rotation)
You’re probably
had to take a double-take when you saw that Jake Arrieta could go to the
Minnesota Twins, but before you say I’m nuts hear me out. Going into last
season, I did not expect the Twins to go 85-77 and make the playoffs. I guess
everything just worked for the Twins and this year they’re looking to build on
last seasons success and prove everybody who thinks their season last year was
a ‘fluke’ wrong.
I officially
consider them a contender in the AL Central for this upcoming season. With the
Royals getting all their talent gutted and the Indians also losing some key
pieces, all the Twins need to do is continue developing their budding stars and
gain a couple more pieces in the pitching department.
They’ve already
signed Michael Pineda to a 2-year, $10 million dollar contract but are only
able to use him after next season, since he’s currently recovering from Tommy
John Surgery. With Ervin Santana 34-years-old and extremely unlikely to repeat
his success from last season, the Twins are looking for a top-of-the-rotation
like pitcher to pair with Jose Berrios as a 1-2 punch for the near future.
Even thought
Minnesota aren’t usually big spender in free agency, being a smaller market
team and all, I feel it would be extremely interesting if they beat out big
teams like Houston, Texas and Washington to the former Cy Young winner.
If Minnesota
manages to sign Arrieta, he would join a very talented and underrated core
players who are young and hungry. Sanu, Buxton and Berrios seem like future
stars and the Twins have some intriguing prospects that could make a real
impact on the MLB in the years to come.
His age 32 season
may continue his trend of regression from his age 31 season, but he could still corral in a raise from his Cubs contract (in the 6-7 year range with over $100
million), just because he’s still one of the best available on the market.
4. JD
Martinez to the Giants
This would be the
conclusion to a feel good story in my opinion. Remember that after spring
training in 2014, Martinez was actually released by the Houston Astros (one of
the few wrong decisions they made during their rebuild) to make room for, wait
for it, L.J. Hoes and Robbie Grossman.
How does he come
back from that? By slashing .315/.358/.553 with 23 homers and 73 RBIs. Other
than his injury plagued 2016 season, JD has set career highs year after year,
culminating in an absurd 45 home runs and 104 RBIs this past season.
He absolutely
destroyed NL pitchers, hitting 29 home runs and 65 RBIs in only 62 (!!!) games
as a member of the Arizona Diamondbacks. He literally hit more home runs (29)
as a D-back than he did during his entire 2016 season (22) in just over half
the amount of games (62 games in 2017 and 120 games in 2016).
JD has gone from
$23 million est. earnings in his ENTIRE CAREER to meriting $23 million a seasonfor the next 5-6 years. At the age of 30, JD is clearly in the prime of his
career, and is going to be a game changer for any franchise that signs him
(assuming he stays relatively healthy).
Martinez would change
the fortunes of any franchise that needs his power and can afford his market
value. Among interested teams (Red Sox, D-backs, Giants, Blue Jays, Rockies,
etc.) I feel like Martinez going to the Giants would probably benefit both
parties the most.
After coming close
but losing out on Giancarlo Stanton, the Giants still find themselves in need
of a 3rd/4th batter in their lineup that will strike fear
in the eyes of pitchers.
Albeit in a very
short sample size, Martinez raked against NL west pitchers. Give him more
opportunities and, although regression will come with having a larger sample
size, he will continue to dominate the pitching that just can’t solve him.
Even after
acquiring Evan Longoria, the Giants still need power in their lineup. JD is probably
one of the best acquisitions they could make to capitalize on their roster now
before their core players are past their prime, as previous explained in my
last article “The Stanton Sweepstakes”.
I recognize that
this may not be the ideal fit, but it would surely be an entertaining one. With
Hunter Pence manning right field for the Giants, Martinez would probably be
forced to shift out to left field, a position he hasn’t played since 2014 (his
first season in Detroit).
Also, considering
the majority of JD’s power drives the ball into right-center field, the deeper
area in the right-center of AT&T Park will take away from JD’s home run
total, but even the ability to drive the ball that far will force opponent
outfielders to be prepared to cover more ground, opening up more opportunities
for the slugger to expand his game.
This move has less
traction in the media than the others I’ve spoken about, but it would be
entertaining to say the least. With 3 teams making the playoffs last season,
the NL West is probably one of the most competitive divisions in baseball,
leaving the San Francisco Giants having to adjust and improve their roster just
to compete with the other teams.
I’m rather certain
that most of these scenarios will not play out, but at least the possibility is
there. These are moves that are plausible and sure to bring more excitement to
the 2018 MLB season.
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